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            <p>Fantasy Football Hub's resident stats expert <a href="https://twitter.com/DarkishJungle">Carl Weeks</a> looks ahead to the Sky Sports Fantasy Football Overhaul, analysing stats and revealing his team and transfer plans.</p>
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<p>The World Cup has come to an end, which means it's time to look forward to the Premier League and the festive fixtures. It also means for Sky we need to plan our team for the Overhaul.</p>
<p>We have recently been given fixtures dates until the end of February and three rescheduled matches.</p>
<p>This article is going to look at the best-value players so far this season and my current plans post-Overhaul.</p>
<p>My plans are very much provisional at the moment and will depend on team news close to Christmas - but hopefully it gives an insight into possible plans.</p>
<p>With there being games nearly every day over the festive period, my next article will be after Chelsea play Manchester City (January 5)</p>
<h2><strong>Player statistics</strong></h2>
<p>With teams having played around 14 or 15 games, we should have enough data to see which players are performing well for their price and are value for money.</p>
<p>To find the best players I use two tables, one the total points a player has scored and the second points per million per game (pts/£/g) for those who played at least seven matches.</p>
<p>The second metric is very useful in finding cheap enablers, though you need to use some judgement as this will include fringe players who only made a few appearances and also over-value players that are involved in a lot of rotation.</p>
<p>On the plus side, this does pick up players that have missed games through injury or joined teams late in the transfer window and missed the first few games.</p>
<p>Tables of the top ten players in each position are below:</p>
<p><img class="wp-image-51300 size-full aligncenter" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/Capture1.png" alt="" width="615" height="496" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><img class="wp-image-51301 size-full aligncenter" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/Capture2.png" alt="" width="612" height="496" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Usually, you would observe much higher points per million per game figures in defence over attack, which is not the case this season, particularly with the high point scorers.</p>
<p>Historically, I have always considered a player reaching 0.7 in this category as the gold standard and last season only three midfielders and three strikers met this.</p>
<p>So far this season, we have six strikers at this standard and none below the 0.75. This is fairly surprising, especially with the removal of man of the match points, which favoured attackers.</p>
<p>I do not know if this is just a variance in the data that we have seen, or if there has been a structural change in the game which has shifted value away from defence to attacking players.</p>
<p>My next stage is to plot the points per game by value for each of the positions and produce a line of best fit, with the midfielders graph being as follows:</p>
<p><img class="wp-image-51302 size-full aligncenter" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/Capture3.png" alt="" width="680" height="438" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>I then plotted the best-fitting line of all four positions onto a graph to indicated the best formation and where to spend most of the budget.</p>
<p><img class="wp-image-51303 size-full aligncenter" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/Capture4.png" alt="" width="656" height="396" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>The higher the line, the more players you want from that position and the greater the slope, the more money you would want to invest into that position.</p>
<p>However, with <strong>Erling Haaland (£11.5m)</strong> being such an outlier of a player he distorts the best-fitting line for strikers, so I have reproduced this graph with Haaland taken out of the data.</p>
<p><img class="wp-image-51304 size-full aligncenter" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/Capture5.png" alt="" width="673" height="437" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>In all the previous years in producing this char,t it has always indicated a 5-3-2 formation, putting more of your money into defence.</p>
<p>This chart basically shows that all outfield positions are equal, so there is no preference to formation or where to spend your money by position.</p>
<p>Strikers are slightly worse than other positions but I would not say it is significantly different.</p>
<p>I’m not sure if this is just a very odd time period, if there has been a change in how football is played or if Sky changed their method of pricing players to shift the balance away from defenders and make the game more fun.</p>
<h2><strong>Team selection and transfer planning</strong></h2>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;"> <em><strong>Join the Hub for an exclusive look at Carl's Overhaul team, powered by his data and statistical modelling!  </strong></em></span><strong><span style="font-weight: 400;"></span></strong></p>
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Sky Fantasy Football Overhaul: Carl Weeks’ Sky stats and team reveal

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