<p>In this fantasy football tips article, <a href="http://twitter.com/bigmanbakar">BigManBakar</a> runs you through the<strong> three</strong> best FPL differentials for Gameweek 38 to help you gain an advantage over your mini-league rivals in Fantasy Premier League.</p>
<p>The data used in this article is all from the <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/opta/">OPTA Stats tool</a> at Fantasy Football Hub.</p>
<p><em>BigManBakar is an FPL expert. He&#8217;s finished fourth in the world before, and currently sits inside the top 5k.</em></p>
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<h2>FPL Best Differentials for Gameweek 38</h2>
<h3>1) Ryan Sessegnon &#8211; Price: £4.3m, Ownership: 1.3%</h3>
<p><strong>Fixture: Norwich (a)</strong></p>
<p>Given the history of high scoring games on the last day of the season, choosing a defender as a differential is a slightly controversial pick. However, the gulf in class between the two teams is such that I expect Sessegnon to haul if he starts.</p>
<p>He has only blanked once in his previous five appearances, and was hugely unlucky not to have registered an attacking return against Burnley last week &#8211; he created four chances (including two big ones) and registered 11 penalty area touches. He also had the highest number of touches in the final third in the game. Conte&#8217;s wing-backs have historically been very attacking, and Sessegnon is just another example of that, recording an impressive xGi per 90 over the times he has played.</p>
<p>I think there&#8217;s definitely haul potential in this fixture v Norwich &#8211; Norwich have created the fewest big chances this season, while Spurs are ranked best for big chances conceded since Conte has taken over. Furthermore, Norwich have conceded the highest number of chances from his flank in the division this season, which should bode well for Sessegnon.</p>
<p>Just a word of caution though &#8211; there&#8217;s a slight rumour that Sessegnon has caught a stomach virus. Wait for some team news tomorrow before making your transfer! We should have a fair idea of who has travelled, at the very least.</p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-46424" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Screenshot-2022-05-21-at-13.14.25.jpg" alt="sessegnon heatmap fpl" width="1060" height="858" srcset="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Screenshot-2022-05-21-at-13.14.25.jpg 1060w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Screenshot-2022-05-21-at-13.14.25-300x243.jpg 300w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Screenshot-2022-05-21-at-13.14.25-1024x829.jpg 1024w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Screenshot-2022-05-21-at-13.14.25-768x622.jpg 768w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Screenshot-2022-05-21-at-13.14.25-610x494.jpg 610w" sizes="(max-width: 1060px) 100vw, 1060px" /></p>
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<h3>2) Ivan Toney &#8211; Price: £6.8m, Ownership: 17.2%</h3>
<p><strong>Fixture: Leeds United (H)</strong></p>
<p>Even though his ownership stands at 17.2%, I think it would be unfair to call Toney anything but a differential at the moment. A more accurate reflection of his actual ownership would be his ownership in the top 10k – which stands at a negligible 1.27% as of now.</p>
<p>I really like the Leeds fixture for Toney &#8211; Leeds are ranked 20th for big chances conceded this season, and have conceded the highest number of chances down the middle in the league. This fixture screams peak Toney territory to me. Needless to say, he is on penalties too.</p>
<p>Brentford&#8217;s own attacking underlying numbers have been really impressive in recent times too &#8211; in fact, they are ranked fourth for big chances in the division since Eriksen has started playing regularly. He&#8217;s had a massive influence, and has been integral to Brentford&#8217;s creativity ever since he has joined.</p>
<p>The bookmakers really like Toney as an option too &#8211; they have given him a healthy 51% chance of scoring this week.</p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-46425" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Screenshot-2022-05-21-at-13.17.30.jpg" alt="toney shotmap fpl" width="1056" height="856" srcset="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Screenshot-2022-05-21-at-13.17.30.jpg 1056w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Screenshot-2022-05-21-at-13.17.30-300x243.jpg 300w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Screenshot-2022-05-21-at-13.17.30-1024x830.jpg 1024w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Screenshot-2022-05-21-at-13.17.30-768x623.jpg 768w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Screenshot-2022-05-21-at-13.17.30-610x494.jpg 610w" sizes="(max-width: 1056px) 100vw, 1056px" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h3>3) Sadio Mané &#8211; Price: £11.8m, Ownership: 4.5%</h3>
<p><strong>Fixture: Wolves (H)</strong></p>
<p>Playing for one of the best attacks in the league, Mane is as good as it gets when you&#8217;re talking about explosive differentials on the last day of the season. He&#8217;s completely nailed to start, having been rested against Southampton, and is highly likely to play 90 minutes as well. Mane has been playing as a centre forward in recent weeks, and seems like the kind of player who has brace potential in him every single time you watch him play.</p>
<p>Statistically, the fixture is in his favour. Wolves are ranked 19th for xG conceded in the previous six matches &#8211; and that is despite having played the likes of Burnley, Brighton and Norwich in that spell. They are practically on the beach with nothing to play for.</p>
<p>Historically, Mane has done really well at the end of the season. In his previous three Gameweek 38 appearances, Mane has scored five goals (four of which were against Wolves!) and averages over 12 FPL points per game. If you&#8217;re chasing a mini league or looking to make up big ground in no time, then I&#8217;d even go as far as to say that Mane is an excellent option as a differential captain.</p>
<p>According to the bookmakers, Liverpool are the favourites to score over 2.5 goals this week, with Mane given a 52% probability of scoring.</p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-46426" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Screenshot-2022-05-21-at-13.20.31.jpg" alt="mane fpl stats " width="1066" height="856" srcset="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Screenshot-2022-05-21-at-13.20.31.jpg 1066w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Screenshot-2022-05-21-at-13.20.31-300x241.jpg 300w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Screenshot-2022-05-21-at-13.20.31-1024x822.jpg 1024w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Screenshot-2022-05-21-at-13.20.31-768x617.jpg 768w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Screenshot-2022-05-21-at-13.20.31-610x490.jpg 610w" sizes="(max-width: 1066px) 100vw, 1066px" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Thank you so much for reading!</p>
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Best FPL Differentials for Gameweek 38 | Fantasy Football Tips 2021/22

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