<p>Our FPL Player Comparison for Gameweek 27 article uses the <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/fpl-player-comparision-tool/">Hub’s Comparison Tool</a> to compare two key transfer targets. This week, <a href="https://twitter.com/CoysFPL">Dan</a> compares<strong> James Ward-Prowse (£6.5m)</strong> and <strong>Raphinha (£6.5m)</strong>.</p>
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<h2>James Ward-Prowse (£6.5m) vs Raphinha (£6.5m) | Gameweek 27 Comparison</h2>
<p>Going into Double Gameweek 27, mid-priced midfielders James Ward-Prowse and Raphinha look like the two hottest properties in their range. Both have a favourable <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/fpl-double-gameweek-28-and-29-announced-fantasy-premier-league-2021-22-fixture-updates/">Double Gameweek in Gameweek 28</a>, facing Aston Villa and Newcastle, and Leicester and Aston Villa respectively. Both are the best midfield options in their respective teams, so look good options for the double.</p>
<p>Southampton have a very <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/fixture-ticker/">favourable run of fixtures</a> for the rest of the season, particularly in the next six games where they face six of the seven bottom teams. They go into those games as one of the league&#8217;s most in-form teams; only losing one in the last nine league games. They&#8217;ve also scored in all of those nine games, whilst winning at Spurs and drawing at Old Trafford and at home to Man City and Spurs.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, Leeds have been struggling of late and have been dragged back into the relegation scrap. Their fixtures are about to pick up though, with winnable games coming up.</p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone wp-image-44326 size-full" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/FFStuffImage-17-1.jpg" alt="FPL player comparison raphinha and Ward prowse stats" width="1000" height="812" srcset="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/FFStuffImage-17-1.jpg 1000w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/FFStuffImage-17-1-300x244.jpg 300w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/FFStuffImage-17-1-768x624.jpg 768w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/FFStuffImage-17-1-610x495.jpg 610w" sizes="(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px" /></p>
<p>Raphinha has three more goals than Ward-Prowse this season, despite playing about 200 minutes less. Raphinha has also had nearly twice as many shots, but Ward-Prowse has had seven times as many on target. The Brazilian is also far more lively in the box, having four times as many shots in there than the Saints captain.</p>
<p>This highlights Ward-Prowse&#8217;s shooting accuracy, although Raphinha is undoubtedly the more exciting and dangerous pick on the eye.</p>
<p>Despite Raphinha&#8217;s fine start to the season, he&#8217;s only scored one in seven and actually got benched in Leeds&#8217; derby clash against Manchester United. That being said, with Leeds in dire need of points in the coming weeks, it&#8217;s hard to see him not playing the full match in the majority of games.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, Ward-Prowse has particularly excelled during Southampton&#8217;s run of form, scoring four of his six league goals all season in the last nine games, assisting all four too.</p>
<ul>
<li><a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/opta/"><strong>FPL Stats: powered by OPTA</strong></a></li>
</ul>
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<h2><strong>Price | Player Comparison Gameweek 27</strong></h2>
<p>Ward-Prowse and Raphinha are both currently priced at 6.5 million, so it is purely a case of whoever is the better asset.</p>
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<h2><strong>Position | </strong><strong>Player Comparison Gameweek 27</strong></h2>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone wp-image-44327 size-full" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/FFStuffImage-18-1.jpg" alt="raphinha ward-prowse heat maps FPL comparison" width="997" height="812" srcset="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/FFStuffImage-18-1.jpg 997w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/FFStuffImage-18-1-300x244.jpg 300w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/FFStuffImage-18-1-768x625.jpg 768w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/FFStuffImage-18-1-610x497.jpg 610w" sizes="(max-width: 997px) 100vw, 997px" /></p>
<p>Raphinha&#8217;s touch heat map looks more impressive than Coutinho&#8217;s, with more impact in the box as well as the final third. Ward-Prowse rarely ventures into the box but due to his dead ball expertise, crossing and long-range shooting ability he is still a good FPL asset.</p>
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<h2><strong>Goal Threat |</strong><strong>Player Comparison Gameweek 27</strong></h2>
<p><a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/opta/"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone wp-image-44333 size-medium" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/Goal-threat-JWP-top-300x146.png" alt="" width="300" height="146" srcset="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/Goal-threat-JWP-top-300x146.png 300w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/Goal-threat-JWP-top-1024x499.png 1024w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/Goal-threat-JWP-top-768x374.png 768w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/Goal-threat-JWP-top-610x297.png 610w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/Goal-threat-JWP-top-1080x526.png 1080w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/Goal-threat-JWP-top.png 1443w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></a></p>
<p>Since Gameweek 18, Ward-Prowse has scored 0.44 goals per start, 0.30 more than Raphinha&#8217;s. That is despite having over three times less shots in the box and nearly three times less big chances. Despite that, Raphinha has only hit target 0.14 times per game, compared to nearly once a game from Ward-Prowse.</p>
<p>This clearly demonstrates Ward-Prowse&#8217;s shooting ability, and his <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/opta/">underlying stats</a> are very unrepresentative, particularly given he has scored more times per start than has had shots in the box and has beaten his xG by 0.25. He also takes penalties for the Saints, like Raphinha does for Leeds.</p>
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<h2><strong>Creativity | </strong><strong>Player Comparison Gameweek 27</strong></h2>
<p><a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/opta/"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone wp-image-44332 size-medium" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/Creativity-JWP-top-300x214.png" alt="FPL player comparison gameweek 27" width="300" height="214" srcset="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/Creativity-JWP-top-300x214.png 300w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/Creativity-JWP-top-768x549.png 768w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/Creativity-JWP-top-610x436.png 610w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/Creativity-JWP-top-400x284.png 400w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/Creativity-JWP-top.png 954w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></a></p>
<p>Represented by the top row, Ward-Prowse and Raphinha are almost identical in terms of underlying creativity <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/opta/" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c="1" title="FPL Stats by OPTA - Player and Team Stats">stats</a> according to our <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/opta/">OPTA stats tool</a>.</p>
<p>They have made virtually the same amount of key passes per start, as well as creating practically the same number of big chances. Not only that, but their xA is only separated by 0.02 per start.</p>
<p>Despite such close numbers, Ward-Prowse has recorded over three times more assists than Raphinha since Gameweek 18, with almost one every other game. That is due to the players he is creating chances for, with the likes of Che Adams, Armando Broja and Mohammed Elyounoussi being more clinical players than the likes of Dan James, Rodrigo and Jack Harrison for striker-less Leeds.</p>
<p>Ward-Prowse did outperform his xA by 0.18 in that time, which isn&#8217;t quite as sustainable as his impressive delta xG <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/opta/" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c="1" title="FPL Stats by OPTA - Player and Team Stats">stats</a>.</p>
<ul>
<li><a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/best-fpl-midfielders-for-blank-gameweek-27-fantasy-football-tips-2021-22/"><strong>Best Midfielders for Double Gameweek 27</strong></a></li>
</ul>
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<h2><strong>Fixtures | </strong><strong>Player Comparison Gameweek 27</strong></h2>
<p><a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/fixture-ticker/"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone wp-image-44331 size-full" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/jwp-raph-fixtures.png" alt="" width="1833" height="156" srcset="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/jwp-raph-fixtures.png 1833w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/jwp-raph-fixtures-300x26.png 300w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/jwp-raph-fixtures-1024x87.png 1024w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/jwp-raph-fixtures-768x65.png 768w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/jwp-raph-fixtures-1536x131.png 1536w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/jwp-raph-fixtures-610x52.png 610w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/jwp-raph-fixtures-1080x92.png 1080w" sizes="(max-width: 1833px) 100vw, 1833px" /></a></p>
<p>According to the <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/fixture-ticker/">Hub&#8217;s fixture ticker</a>, Southampton have slightly better fixtures over the next six gameweeks. They face the likes of Norwich, Newcastle, out-of-form Villa, Watford, Burnley and Leeds in that time, whilst Leeds also host Villa and Norwich and in-form Southampton, also visiting defensively vulnerable pair Watford and Leicester.</p>
<p>Leicester are the worst team over the last six gameweeks for expected goals conceded per game, whilst Leeds, Burnley and Villa rank 2nd,  5th and 6th respectively.</p>
<p>Southampton play three of those sides, whilst Leeds play only two. That being said, Southampton&#8217;s gameweek 30 tie to Burnley will be postponed until a later date if Southampton beat West Ham in the FA Cup, whereas Leeds are certain to play in gameweek 30.</p>
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<h2><strong>Points Prediction | </strong><strong>Player Comparison Gameweek 27</strong></h2>
<p><a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/predictions/"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone wp-image-44330 size-full" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/prediction-jwp-raph.png" alt="" width="1741" height="663" srcset="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/prediction-jwp-raph.png 1741w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/prediction-jwp-raph-300x114.png 300w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/prediction-jwp-raph-1024x390.png 1024w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/prediction-jwp-raph-768x292.png 768w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/prediction-jwp-raph-1536x585.png 1536w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/prediction-jwp-raph-610x232.png 610w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/prediction-jwp-raph-1080x411.png 1080w" sizes="(max-width: 1741px) 100vw, 1741px" /></a>The Hub&#8217;s <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/predictions/">Points Prediction Tool</a> projects Raphinha to outscore Ward-Prowse by 0.6 PPG across the next three. That is despite him being projected to play 68 minutes in each fixture. I can&#8217;t see this happening, so in reality Raphinha is projected to score more than 0.6 points per game than Ward-Prowse.</p>
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<h2><strong>Conclusion | </strong><strong>Player Comparison Gameweek 27</strong></h2>
<p>Ultimately, if I was transferring one in this gameweek, it would be <strong>Ward-Prowse</strong>. However, if Southampton beat West Ham in the FA Cup next Wednesday, Raphinha would be my pick from Gameweek 28.</p>
<p>If both players were in normal form, Raphinha would undoubtedly be my pick, but he hasn&#8217;t been himself of late. Leeds are struggling, but on the other hand, Ward-Prowse is key to Southampton&#8217;s excellent form, and I slightly prefer his fixtures over the next six or so.</p>
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FPL Player Comparison for Gameweek 27 | Ward-Prowse vs Raphinha

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