<p>Our FPL Player Comparison for Gameweek 33 article uses the <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/fpl-player-comparision-tool/">Hub’s Comparison Tool</a> to compare two key transfer targets. This week, <a href="https://twitter.com/CoysFPL">Dan</a> compares Allan Saint-Maximin (£6.8m) and Chris Wood (£6.7m).</p>
<h2>Allan Saint-Maximin (£6.8m) vs Chris Wood (£6.7m) | Gameweek 33 Comparison</h2>
<p>Ahead of Double Gameweek 33, many FPL managers are targeting Newcastle assets for their favourable home double, as they face Leicester and Crystal Palace in arguably the best pair of fixtures of all the doubling teams.</p>
<p>Leicester will have limited rest off the back of their key UEFA Conference League tie in Eindhoven, whilst Palace will be limited to just a three day break after their FA Cup semi-final tie to Chelsea. Newcastle then travel to Carrow Road in Gameweek 34 for a favourable fixture against bottom of the league Norwich.</p>
<p>Under Howe, Newcastle have improved dramatically, winning seven of their last eleven league games, and all of their last four home games. As well as that, he has made St  James&#8217; Park a fortress, remaining unbeaten in all bar one of his ten league games in charge at home, and scoring in all games bar one.</p>
<p>Therefore, Allan Saint-Maximin and Chris Wood should be targets for the majority of managers this week. Given how closely matched the pair look in terms of their fantasy credentials, I will analyse who you should prioritise bringing in this week.</p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone wp-image-45472 size-full" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/FFStuffImage-25-1.jpg" alt="wood v asm fpl" width="1000" height="812" srcset="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/FFStuffImage-25-1.jpg 1000w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/FFStuffImage-25-1-300x244.jpg 300w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/FFStuffImage-25-1-768x624.jpg 768w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/FFStuffImage-25-1-610x495.jpg 610w" sizes="(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px" /></p>
<p>In terms of goals so far, the pair are equal, although unsurprisingly, Wood is comfortably beating Saint-Maximin in terms of xG, big chances and shots in the box.</p>
<p>However, Saint-Maximin is far more capable of creating chances, making twice as many key passes, beating Wood comfortably in terms of xA, and creating five big chances to Wood&#8217;s one. Consequently, Saint-Maximin has five assists to his name, whereas Wood is yet to create a goal for his teammates.</p>
<p>You can check out more of their <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/opta/"><strong>FPL Stats: Powered by OPTA here.</strong></a></p>
<h2><strong>Price Comparison</strong></h2>
<p>Very little separates the pair&#8217;s prices, with Saint-Maximin taking just £0.1m more out of your budget than Wood. Given such marginal difference, I will simply ignore price and evaluate who the better option is.</p>
<h2><strong>Position</strong><strong> Comparison </strong></h2>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone wp-image-45473 size-full" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/FFStuffImage-26-1.jpg" alt="wood asm heatmaps fpl" width="997" height="812" srcset="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/FFStuffImage-26-1.jpg 997w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/FFStuffImage-26-1-300x244.jpg 300w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/FFStuffImage-26-1-768x625.jpg 768w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/FFStuffImage-26-1-610x497.jpg 610w" sizes="(max-width: 997px) 100vw, 997px" /></p>
<p>Unsurprisingly, the pairs&#8217; heatmaps look rather different, with Wood having far more of an influence the opposition&#8217;s penalty area, whereas Saint-Maximin is used primarily on the left-wing. That being said, under Howe, Wood has taken up a more unselfish and disciplined role, linking up far more with the wingers and midfield &#8211; a role he never took up at Burnley. I do believe that has seen a drop in goal threat, although he is still Newcastle&#8217;s most likely goalscorer in my opinion.</p>
<h2><strong>Goal Threat</strong><strong> Comparison </strong></h2>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone size-medium wp-image-45481" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-412-300x111.png" alt="" width="300" height="111" srcset="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-412-300x111.png 300w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-412-1024x378.png 1024w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-412-768x284.png 768w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-412-610x225.png 610w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-412-1080x399.png 1080w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-412.png 1191w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></p>
<p>The table above shows the pair&#8217;s underlying goal threat <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/opta/" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c="1" title="FPL Stats by OPTA - Player and Team Stats">stats</a> since Wood&#8217;s arrival at the club, per 90 minutes, with the New Zealand forward&#8217;s <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/opta/" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c="1" title="FPL Stats by OPTA - Player and Team Stats">stats</a> shown in the top row. The former Burnley man has a marginally higher xG than Saint-Maximin, and is registering over double the amount of big chances. That being said, Saint-Maximin is having more shots, including more on target. Very little separates the pair&#8217;s actual goal output, with Wood&#8217;s 0.17 edging out Saint-Maximin record of 0.15 goals per 90. Wood also has penalty duties, and scored his second goal for the club from the spot against Wolves last gameweek.</p>
<h2><strong>Creativity</strong><strong> Comparison</strong></h2>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone size-medium wp-image-45480" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-411-300x163.png" alt="" width="300" height="163" srcset="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-411-300x163.png 300w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-411-768x416.png 768w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-411-610x331.png 610w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-411.png 799w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></p>
<p>Represented by the top row, Saint-Maximin has been the more creative asset of late according to our <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/opta/">OPTA stats tool</a>.</p>
<p>He has averaged over one more key pass per game, as well as creating approximately twice as many big chances, and 0.07 more xA. Saint-Maximin also has 0.15 assists per 90 to show for, whereas Wood is yet to create a goal this season.</p>
<h2><strong>Points Predictions</strong></h2>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone wp-image-45482 size-large" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-414-1024x231.png" alt="" width="1024" height="231" srcset="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-414-1024x231.png 1024w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-414-300x68.png 300w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-414-768x173.png 768w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-414-1536x347.png 1536w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-414-610x138.png 610w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-414-1080x244.png 1080w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-414.png 1870w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></p>
<p>The Hub&#8217;s <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/predictions/">Points Prediction Tool</a> projects Wood to outscore Saint-Maximin by 0.7 PPG across the next three games. The tool also gives Wood more than twice the likelihood of scoring compared with Saint-Maximin, as well as 0.5 more returns in the next three. Saint-Maximin is twice as likely to assist according the tool, with one assist expected from the winger in his next three games.</p>
<h2><strong>Conclusion | </strong><strong>Player Comparison Gameweek 31</strong></h2>
<p>Ultimately, if I was transferring one in this gameweek, it would be <strong>Saint-Maximin</strong>. The pair&#8217;s goal threat is closely matched, with Wood only beating the winger&#8217;s xG because of his penalty duties. I would also argue that Saint-Maximin is more likely to score low-xG goals from outside the box, and if Newcastle were to win a penalty, I would put my money on it being Saint-Maximin being the one fouled due to his pace and trickery.</p>
<p>As well as that, Saint-Maximin is far more capable of creating chances for his teammates, underlined by his significantly better assist record this season.</p>
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FPL Player Comparison for Gameweek 33 | Saint-Maximin vs Wood

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