<p>Our FPL Player Comparison for Gameweek 35 article uses the <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/fpl-player-comparision-tool/">Hub’s Comparison Tool</a> to compare two key transfer targets. This week, <a href="https://twitter.com/CoysFPL">Dan</a> compares Eddie Nketiah (£5.5m) and Wout Weghorst (6.4m).</p>
<h2>Eddie Nketiah (£5.5m) vs Wout Weghorst (£6.4m) | Gameweek 35 Comparison</h2>
<p>Ahead of Gameweek 35, many FPL managers are focusing their attention on budget forwards, with heavily owned assets such as Chris Wood, Allan Saint-Maximin and Armando Broja all out of favour due to their form and fixtures. I think Eddie Nketiah and Wout Weghorst are now the pick of the budget forwards for the rest of the season, and will be comparing the pair this week.</p>
<p><strong>Nketiah</strong> seems to have found himself a spot in the Arsenal team, starting three Premier League games consecutively for the first time since 2020. He should retain his starting berth for at least the weekend, as The Gunners travel across the capital to injury-ridden West Ham. That looks like a good fixture for Arsenal&#8217;s attackers, with West Ham set for a tough European tie tonight added to the fact Craig Dawson is their only available senior centre half. Arsenal then face Leeds at home, before the North London Derby in Double Gameweek 36, ending the season away at Newcastle and at home to Everton.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, <strong>Weghorst</strong> has come on dramatically since Sean Dyche&#8217;s departure, scoring and assisting in three starts. He&#8217;s looked much better on the eye test, with underlying data to back that up. Burnley are now favourites over Everton to defeat the drop, and have some winnable fixtures to dictate where they&#8217;ll be next season. This weekend, they face a Watford side who have conceded three or more in five of their last nine games, in what seems a must-win clash. They then host Aston Villa in Gameweek 36, before travelling to Tottenham and facing Villa again in Double Gameweek 37, ending the season at home to <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/teams-who-are-on-the-beach-fpl-tips-2021-22/">on-the-beach</a> Newcastle.</p>
<p>Given what the two sides are playing for, and the pair showing signs of form, I think both make very solid options to end the season.</p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone wp-image-45913 size-full" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/FFStuffImage-28-1.jpg" alt="nketiah v weghorst" width="1000" height="812" srcset="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/FFStuffImage-28-1.jpg 1000w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/FFStuffImage-28-1-300x244.jpg 300w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/FFStuffImage-28-1-768x624.jpg 768w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/FFStuffImage-28-1-610x495.jpg 610w" sizes="(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px" /></p>
<p>Nketiah has made more appearances than Weghorst this season, although Weghorst has played over three times as many minutes. In terms of goals so far, the pair are equal, whilst Weghorst has two extra assists to his name.</p>
<p>Weghorst has registered about twice as many shots, including those in the box and on target. He only beats Nketiah&#8217;s xG by about one, and his xA is only 0.44 more. Weghorst has also only had one more big chance than Nketiah, whilst creating as many big chances as each other.</p>
<p>Given the difference in their minutes, it&#8217;s fair to say Nketiah is boasting far better <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/opta/" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c="1" title="FPL Stats by OPTA - Player and Team Stats">stats</a> per 90 so far this season.</p>
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<p>You can check out more of their <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/opta/"><strong>FPL Stats: Powered by OPTA here.</strong></a></p>
<h2><strong>Price Comparison</strong></h2>
<p>Weghorst costs almost 1 million more than Nketiah. However, due to his increased security of starts, he could be worth the extra money.</p>
<h2><strong>Position</strong><strong> Comparison </strong></h2>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone wp-image-45914 size-full" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/FFStuffImage-29-1.jpg" alt="nketiah v weghorst heatmaps" width="997" height="812" srcset="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/FFStuffImage-29-1.jpg 997w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/FFStuffImage-29-1-300x244.jpg 300w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/FFStuffImage-29-1-768x625.jpg 768w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/FFStuffImage-29-1-610x497.jpg 610w" sizes="(max-width: 997px) 100vw, 997px" /></p>
<p>The pairs&#8217; heatmaps look very different, with Nketiah having far more of an influence in the opposition penalty area than Weghorst. That is due to Weghorst&#8217;s supporting target man role, where he drops deeper than the other forward in the front two and attempts to create space for his teammate.</p>
<h2><strong>Goal Threat</strong><strong> Comparison </strong></h2>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone size-medium wp-image-45915" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-420-300x126.png" alt="" width="300" height="126" srcset="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-420-300x126.png 300w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-420-768x322.png 768w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-420-610x256.png 610w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-420.png 997w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></p>
<p>The table above shows the pair&#8217;s underlying goal threat <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/opta/" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c="1" title="FPL Stats by OPTA - Player and Team Stats">stats</a> over the last three games. In that timeframe, Weghorst has looked far more lively than under Dyche, and Nketiah has broken into the starting line-up. With the Dutch forward&#8217;s <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/opta/" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c="1" title="FPL Stats by OPTA - Player and Team Stats">stats</a> shown in the top row, the Burnley man has a higher xG than Nketiah, and has registered an extra big chance.</p>
<p>Nketiah has an extra goal, although Weghorst looks to a marginally better goal threat at the moment. He&#8217;s actually had more big chances and practically the same xG in the last three games as he did in 12 games under Dyche.</p>
<h2><strong>Creativity</strong><strong> Comparison</strong></h2>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone size-medium wp-image-45916" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-422-300x171.png" alt="" width="300" height="171" srcset="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-422-300x171.png 300w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-422-768x439.png 768w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-422-610x349.png 610w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-422.png 1013w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></p>
<p>Represented by the top row, Weghorst has been the more creative asset of late, according to our <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/opta/">OPTA stats tool</a>.</p>
<p>Both provide little assist potential on the whole, but Weghorst has created two extra key passes as well as a big chance. He has an assist to show for his significantly stronger xA.</p>
<h2><strong>Points Predictions</strong></h2>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone wp-image-45917 size-large" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-425-1024x115.png" alt="" width="1024" height="115" srcset="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-425-1024x115.png 1024w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-425-300x34.png 300w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-425-768x86.png 768w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-425-610x69.png 610w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-425-1080x121.png 1080w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-425.png 1389w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone wp-image-45918 size-large" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-426-1024x116.png" alt="" width="1024" height="116" srcset="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-426-1024x116.png 1024w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-426-300x34.png 300w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-426-768x87.png 768w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-426-610x69.png 610w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-426-1080x123.png 1080w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Screenshot-426.png 1410w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></p>
<p>The Hub&#8217;s <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/predictions/">Points Prediction Tool</a> projects Nketiah to outscore Weghorst by 1.2 point per game across the last five games. The tool also suggests that Nketiah will get 0.9 more returns. It does predict Weghorst to play only 76 minutes per match, despite averaging 10 more than that since Dyche&#8217;s departure. On the other hand, an off performance by Nketiah could see him back on the bench.</p>
<h2><strong>Conclusion | </strong><strong>Player Comparison Gameweek 31</strong></h2>
<p>Ultimately, if money wasn&#8217;t a factor, I would pick <strong>Weghorst</strong>.</p>
<p>Their goal threat underlying <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/opta/" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c="1" title="FPL Stats by OPTA - Player and Team Stats">stats</a> are practically the same of late, although Weghorst has proven to be a better finisher than Nketiah over his career. He has outperformed his xG of 0.45 per 90 by 0.03, whereas Nketiah has underperformed his by 0.04. Weghorst should also take penalties after Maxwel Cornet&#8217;s miss against West Ham.</p>
<p>I also don&#8217;t trust Nketiah to retain his starting spot for the rest of the season. However, if I needed the extra money for a move I planning to do, I&#8217;d settle on Nketiah. That being said, I still think Weghorst will be provide better value over the rest of the season.</p>
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FPL Player Comparison for Gameweek 35 | Nketiah vs Weghorst

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