Mohamed Salah (£13.4m) is not at his best &#8211; but what do the <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/opta/" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c="1" title="FPL Stats by OPTA - Player and Team Stats">stats</a> say about his performances and could he be the ultimate Fantasy Premier League (FPL) differential on the final day of the season?
The Liverpool midfielder is in 23% of all FPL teams but overall ownership at this stage of the season is often misleading, with many teams inactive.
He is in just 4.1% of the top 10,000 teams &#8211; and interest in buying him is so far limited. The Egyptian is the 15th most popular transfer in this week, with 35,000 managers investing in him.
Instead, the spotlight is on other midfield targets, including Michael Olise (£5.7m) and Kai Havertz (£7.5m). Both have more than 90,000 new owners at the time of writing.
Here, we take a look at Salah&#8217;s recent <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/opta/" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c="1" title="FPL Stats by OPTA - Player and Team Stats">stats</a> and consider how strong the case is for bringing him in ahead of Gameweek 38.

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<h2>The emotional case for Salah</h2>
Analytics-focused FPL managers should look away here, as some of the arguments for buying Salah are emotional ones.
Sunday&#8217;s match against Wolves is Jurgen Klopp&#8217;s final game as Liverpool manager and it&#8217;s in front of the Anfield crowd.
A big win for the Reds would be a fitting farewell for the club legend &#8211; but it&#8217;s not just Klopp who could be on his way.
There&#8217;s been speculation over Salah moving on too, with rumours of a <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/football/article/2024/may/15/mohamed-salah-and-alisson-among-saudi-pro-leagues-top-transfer-targets">potential move to Saudi Arabia</a> surfacing once again.
The stage is therefore set for a big performance, although football doesn&#8217;t always follow the script.
<div id="attachment_64577" style="width: 1034px" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-64577" class="size-full wp-image-64577" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/Salah-and-Klopp.jpg" alt="Mohamed Salah and Jurgen Klopp. Picture by Getty Images" width="1024" height="683" srcset="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/Salah-and-Klopp.jpg 1024w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/Salah-and-Klopp-300x200.jpg 300w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/Salah-and-Klopp-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/Salah-and-Klopp-610x407.jpg 610w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" />Mohamed Salah and Jurgen Klopp. Picture by Getty Images</div>
<h2>Opposition analysis: Struggling Wolves ideal opponents?</h2>
The Hub takes an in-depth look at the fixtures each week, with <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/opta/" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c="1" title="FPL Stats by OPTA - Player and Team Stats">stats</a> and captaincy expert Chris Tan analysing teams&#8217; weaknesses and the players best placed to take advantage.
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/fpl-gameweek-38-fixtures-analysis">FPL Gameweek 38 fixtures analysis</a></li>
</ul>
On Liverpool v Wolves, Chris highlighted several encouraging reasons to back Liverpool players.
Klopp&#8217;s men have the best home expected goals (xG) record, while Wolves have not kept a clean sheet in their last 11 games. Injuries have played a part in leaving Wolves vulnerable.
Wolves rank poorly for conceding shots on the box, shots on target and big chances.
Salah leads his teammates in all these metrics and is the team&#8217;s penalty taker. His Gameweek 38 opponents have conceded eight spot-kicks this season.
The visiting side allow more chances down their right &#8211; the opposite flank to Salah &#8211; but he could still be the one to set up goals.
All of this supports the potential for a Salah haul, with a variety of routes to FPL points. His form could be the only stumbling block however.
<div id="attachment_64535" style="width: 1007px" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-64535" class="size-full wp-image-64535" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/Salah-GW38.jpg" alt="Mohamed Salah's stats" width="997" height="812" srcset="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/Salah-GW38.jpg 997w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/Salah-GW38-300x244.jpg 300w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/Salah-GW38-768x625.jpg 768w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/Salah-GW38-610x497.jpg 610w" sizes="(max-width: 997px) 100vw, 997px" />Mohamed Salah&#8217;s <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/opta/" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c="1" title="FPL Stats by OPTA - Player and Team Stats">stats</a></div>
<h2>Has Salah been struggling for form?</h2>
Salah has managed three goals and two assists in 10 games since returning from a hamstring injury.
Three of his appearances were from the bench, including against West Ham in Gameweek 35 when he was involved in a <a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/articles/cxe95ylvxg1o">touchline tiff</a> with Klopp.
His only double-digit haul came against Spurs in Gameweek 36, when he scored one and assisted two for 13 FPL points.
<div id="attachment_64579" style="width: 1007px" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-64579" class="size-full wp-image-64579" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/Salah-recent-xG-per-game.jpg" alt="Mohamed Salah's recent xG per game" width="997" height="812" srcset="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/Salah-recent-xG-per-game.jpg 997w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/Salah-recent-xG-per-game-300x244.jpg 300w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/Salah-recent-xG-per-game-768x625.jpg 768w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/Salah-recent-xG-per-game-610x497.jpg 610w" sizes="(max-width: 997px) 100vw, 997px" />Mohamed Salah&#8217;s recent xG per game</div>
&nbsp;
Cole Palmer (£6.3m) scored 12 goals and four assists in that time &#8211; the most of any player. Salah ranks outside the top 20 for goal involvements.
But while he has fallen short of his usually high standards, three-time Golden Boot winner&#8217;s recent <a href="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/opta/" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c="1" title="FPL Stats by OPTA - Player and Team Stats">stats</a> are still relatively encouraging.
His xG per start of 0.72 since Gameweek 28 is the fifth best in the league and no player has has averaged more shots (5.29). More than two of these have hit the target (2.29), just behind Palmer (2.30).
He has averaged at least one big chance (fifth) and nearly one expected goal involvement (xGI) per start (0.9).
And only Haaland and Palmer have a better expected points per game record when making the starting 11 since Salah&#8217;s comeback.
The data suggests he is likely to get chances in Gameweek 38 &#8211; and if he can put them away, he has explosive potential.
Hub AI&#8217;s team of the week includes Salah, with his predicted points of 7.5 the second best behind Haaland.
Salah&#8217;s premium price could be a stumbling block for many, however those with two free transfers to shuffle their budget around could be rewarded.
<div id="attachment_64507" style="width: 831px" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-64507" class="size-full wp-image-64507" src="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/GW38-AI-team.jpg" alt="Hub AI team of the week for Gameweek 38" width="821" height="830" srcset="https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/GW38-AI-team.jpg 821w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/GW38-AI-team-297x300.jpg 297w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/GW38-AI-team-768x776.jpg 768w, https://cms.fantasyfootballhub.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/GW38-AI-team-610x617.jpg 610w" sizes="(max-width: 821px) 100vw, 821px" />Hub AI team of the week for Gameweek 38</div>
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